TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Cardinals, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$678,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$687,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants49c437,717$214,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,335.7838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals51c95,000$48,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,45048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Cardinals51c89,250$45,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,949.9113246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38fa…0aacbacked Cardinals51c60,067$30,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,644.512661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals51c49,873$25,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,435.131,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals52c28,476$14,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,745.5463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants50c19,463$9,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,742.2673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals52c16,631$8,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,648.121,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cardinals51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,14055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Giants68c10,649$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.679146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals51c10,500$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3551,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Giants48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Cardinals51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0808861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals47c7,903$3,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,715.9869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbb…374abacked Cardinals52c7,692$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cardinals41c7,377$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.2978445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Cardinals51c6,833$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,485.027058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants48c6,740$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cardinals35c6,613$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.167341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Giants61c6,591$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.3811554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals32c5,403$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.561,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals51c4,790$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.32,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals48c4,610$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.921,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals51c4,410$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.091,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Giants56c4,377$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.889135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cardinals50c4,102$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05120850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Giants50c4,010$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0055850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Cardinals50c3,850$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9251540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Cardinals34c3,439$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.0938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants56c3,072$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.929,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals51c3,049$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants49c2,974$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.8222142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Cardinals29c2,734$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals36c2,329$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.551,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants75c2,312$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.9445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Giants52c1,497$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.531,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Giants59c1,300$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.644436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals28c1,254$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35130842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Cardinals7c1,199$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4510713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals27c1,164$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals50c1,000$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.673,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants48c999.96$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb3…2d43backed Giants53c991.57$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.043040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cardinals34c900$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6625551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Giants50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40017045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Cardinals26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Giants49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Cardinals50c600.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30643654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants66c518$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals39c512.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals45c495$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.752,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals45c416.46$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4134245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Cardinals52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20813242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Cardinals51c375$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.254944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Giants55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6414863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…ec09backed Giants50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Cardinals35c342.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals28c315$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.051,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants72c312.77$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.386,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Cardinals48c304.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.754057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants49c298.63$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.31,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Cardinals48c295.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14178454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Giants60c285.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Cardinals51c276.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.233228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dad…ce46backed Cardinals50c259.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals50c254$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Giants55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Cardinals25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…ad57backed Cardinals45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c2…fed9backed Cardinals50c213.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Giants50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cardinals50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.547745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6360…c981backed Cardinals51c199.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0225255.6%140 W · 112 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants50c198.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0440144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals51c196.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Cardinals51c194.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Cardinals52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Giants52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.27758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants49c188.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants62c181.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.724,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Cardinals23c174.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Cardinals32c174.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.254242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Cardinals50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8054352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…669cbacked Giants50c157.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Giants65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858366.3%55 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals25c153.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc9c…a734backed Giants54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.