MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x410df010f8f942b0191a2ccb42c3eaaa6d83b910dd59690960fa37cff1d5956a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Twins, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 50c | 16,474$8,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,236.92 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 7c | 11,917$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.16 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Twins | 54c | 6,058$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed White Sox | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 50c | 5,471$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.07 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 50c | 4,219$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 7c | 3,675$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 19c | 2,682$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked White Sox | 73c | 1,939$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins | 51c | 1,745$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.93 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Twins | 9c | 1,709$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Twins | 51c | 1,306$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.06 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed White Sox | 49c | 1,263$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.05 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 48c | 876.08$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 49c | 814.43$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Twins | 51c | 523.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed White Sox | 50c | 511$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 7c | 510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 48c | 455.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Twins | 53c | 385.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 50c | 288.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…9d81backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…9e00backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…e8efbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…bdbebacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…7c7fbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3f56backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…4823backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…ef34backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…5506backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…c3febacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…632cbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…d1c1backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…b647backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7b5cbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…68b5backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…0a46backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…5f74backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…e9f2backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…c101backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…b94bbacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…3cf2backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…b5d9backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…81e0backed Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…5aa9backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcea…08cebacked White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +12.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…c117backed White Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. White Soxthis page
- Spread: Twins (-1.5)No won
- Twins vs. White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.