Tennis · resolved market
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexander Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ad07920f77d6797043b70c840eca1b89751ada13dc67268e2533d78f674d86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Vukic, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vukic | 35c | 7,026$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.87 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Vukic | 52c | 2,766$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bublik | 44c | 2,340$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.4 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vukic | 48c | 2,220$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.66 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Bublik | 57c | 1,588$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.84 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Bublik | 76c | 1,533$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.44 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Vukic | 42c | 1,352$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vukic | 24c | 619.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik | 42c | 546.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Bublik | 61c | 513.16$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bublik | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vukic | 46c | 490$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bublik | 68c | 270$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bublik | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Bublik | 65c | 192.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bublik | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Vukic | 29c | 139.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bublik | 72c | 138.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Bublik | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Vukic | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Bublik | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Vukic | 28c | 99.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Vukic | 27c | 95.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Bublik | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Bublik | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 56c | 60.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bublik | 76c | 49.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bublik | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Vukic | 29c | 36.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Bublik | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.