MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff7f2f76ae1be181668242464eadf60b126b4f2c76ba84553a721258c09fd2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Pirates, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 43c | 8,828$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.06 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Royals | 58c | 4,660$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.3 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals | 59c | 3,880$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.47 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 42c | 3,341$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.04 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 61c | 3,000$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 1c | 2,462$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 39c | 2,243$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.77 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Royals | 58c | 2,075$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.5 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,950$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.49 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Royals | 79c | 1,895$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.47 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Pirates | 42c | 1,779$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Royals | 58c | 1,777$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Royals | 58c | 1,753$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Pirates | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pirates | 16c | 1,715$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Royals | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 25c | 1,604$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 35c | 1,418$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 42c | 1,329$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 1c | 1,316$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 36c | 1,102$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pirates | 33c | 990.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Royals | 58c | 953.06$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.29 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 41c | 709.01$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Royals | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Royals | 57c | 689.6$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.13 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Royals | 59c | 685.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 40c | 534.84$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 58c | 515.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 25c | 450$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Royals | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 4c | 434.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pirates | 23c | 426.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Royals | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Pirates | 18c | 352.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 67c | 352.37$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 62c | 323.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 42c | 299.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 37c | 268.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 42c | 238.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 59c | 233.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 57c | 228$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Royals | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 72c | 190.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Royals | 59c | 179.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Royals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…b930backed Royals | 59c | 164.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…2033backed Pirates | 43c | 156.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 26c | 155$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Royals | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Royals | 67c | 122.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…f0d8backed Royals | 59c | 99.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Royals | 58c | 96.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 43c | 94.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…963abacked Pirates | 43c | 90.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…a6fdbacked Royals | 58c | 89.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e3…8102backed Pirates | 42c | 88.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…b066backed Pirates | 43c | 81.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Royals | 59c | 80.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Royals | 79c | 68.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff0…1a4dbacked Royals | 59c | 67.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pirates | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…eae9backed Royals | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…f0b2backed Royals | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Royals | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Royals | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Pirates | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Royals | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Royals | 59c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 32c | 49.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Pirates | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pirates | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Royals | 66c | 45.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…ebc4backed Pirates | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Pirates | 42c | 39.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…70c1backed Royals | 58c | 39.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…cfb4backed Royals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.