Tennis · resolved market
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. van de Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59617b2e465cb2ad1a970628154f3824f62c550ae729c34cb66736afcd1f9206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Van de Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Van de Zandschulp | 22c | 6,543$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.85 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bublik | 77c | 5,406$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.22 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Van de Zandschulp | 24c | 4,209$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.45 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Van de Zandschulp | 21c | 2,591$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.38 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Bublik | 76c | 2,421$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.14 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Van de Zandschulp | 24c | 1,465$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 75c | 1,376$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.82 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Van de Zandschulp | 28c | 1,305$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.29 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Van de Zandschulp | 25c | 1,002$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Van de Zandschulp | 25c | 999.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Van de Zandschulp | 12c | 925.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Van de Zandschulp | 25c | 794.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Bublik | 78c | 701.88$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bublik | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Van de Zandschulp | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Van de Zandschulp | 22c | 543$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik | 76c | 527.29$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Van de Zandschulp | 24c | 459$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bublik | 74c | 448.43$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Van de Zandschulp | 24c | 418.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Van de Zandschulp | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Van de Zandschulp | 29c | 382.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Bublik | 74c | 373.23$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Van de Zandschulp | 23c | 307$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Bublik | 76c | 263.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed Van de Zandschulp | 9c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Bublik | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Bublik | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Bublik | 77c | 190.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Van de Zandschulp | 27c | 186.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Bublik | 76c | 177.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +388.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Bublik | 74c | 161.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Van de Zandschulp | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Bublik | 74c | 157$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Bublik | 79c | 145.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Bublik | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bublik | 76c | 130.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Van de Zandschulp | 25c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Bublik | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik | 74c | 108.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Bublik | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Bublik | 74c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Van de Zandschulp | 26c | 75.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Bublik | 74c | 74.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Van de Zandschulp | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Van de Zandschulp | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Van de Zandschulp | 27c | 66.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Van de Zandschulp | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…8a16backed Bublik | 74c | 40.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Bublik | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Bublik | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.