TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$692,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$783,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Mariners30c422,135$126,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295,301.0610844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers70c132,832$93,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,535.8560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers70c74,874$52,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,355.11,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers70c57,000$39,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,97048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Mariners30c47,637$14,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,295.1223545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Tigers69c46,041$31,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,689.8214048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Tigers70c45,000$31,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,45024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners39c31,149$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,148.6613352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Tigers70c29,459$20,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,621.113262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers58c25,277$14,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,640.1397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers59c20,588$12,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,229.141,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers71c16,059$11,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,362.3526949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers68c11,163$7,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,604.649,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers51c10,587$5,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,363.222,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers70c10,006$6,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.381,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers71c9,647$6,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,828.92,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…cad9backed Tigers71c6,308$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.82988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers69c6,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14015745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers56c5,423$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.491,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Tigers68c5,360$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,644.6920850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Mariners39c5,160$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.388540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners33c4,119$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.5538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners30c3,666$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.4433845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda71…db66backed Tigers68c3,597$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.923865.8%25 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers72c3,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5206258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers70c3,458$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42431145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Mariners33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Tigers61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8302650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Tigers62c2,102$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.5123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Tigers62c2,101$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.3115642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd78…230fbacked Mariners50c2,081$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.381968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Tigers70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4009843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mariners32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners29c1,729$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.9795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tigers67c1,295$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.8650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers68c1,246$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.9866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers39c1,161$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.1843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…35dcbacked Mariners30c1,144$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers70c1,126$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.21,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers69c1,111$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.5976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Mariners33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6701,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mariners28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72095950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mariners30c999.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners28c989.45$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.437446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners31c982.02$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.5924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Mariners31c970.03$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.3214148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Mariners62c857.48$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.973562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers38c840.2$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.31,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Mariners32c792.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.1219449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mariners30c743.41$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.121,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers57c740.35$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers19c705.75$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners32c665.19$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.3343247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers58c650$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e9…10afbacked Tigers56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers67c579.4$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.238047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Tigers67c560.08$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners29c557.36$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.735,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Mariners33c546.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.4111947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Tigers54c537.76$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3938057.4%218 W · 162 L+1.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Tigers46c530.41$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8826650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Tigers27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13515543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Mariners46c475.53$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5316157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Mariners32c452$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tigers69c450$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.592050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers42c407.87$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners29c382.58$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Mariners34c378.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0216552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dbc…7b7dbacked Tigers54c340.3$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mariners32c331.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners31c322.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.851,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners61c317.31$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Mariners33c305.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7314050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers68c297.06$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers67c296.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Tigers18c277.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0827213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ef…dfd1backed Tigers72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20e…d622backed Mariners72c277.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Tigers65c276.31$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.295939%23 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc3…74c9backed Tigers66c254.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Tigers67c239.82$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6818848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers38c214.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4454048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Mariners34c207.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0431244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.931356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Mariners29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1426747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers61c194$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Tigers69c187.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Tigers72c178.45$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4825952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1946…8a1fbacked Tigers72c173.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc839…2930backed Tigers9c168.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaae…59f6backed Mariners31c162.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mariners62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2947348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd682…0570backed Mariners32c159.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Tigers19c156.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.684748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.