Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f56c199f944c06dc16e9d4878a56f93a0375cd122bfbbff5f172abb061c3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 1c | 3,866$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 51c | 571.27$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 80c | 500.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 497.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 467.63$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 11c | 450.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 450$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 438.17$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 71c | 420.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 65c | 372.61$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 19c | 349.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 335$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 39c | 323.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 10c | 313.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Yes | 56c | 302.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 62c | 287.58$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…f253backed Yes | 43c | 234.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 29c | 224.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 48c | 219.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 42c | 210.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 209.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 204$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 36c | 202.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 55c | 199.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 197$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 15c | 189.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 184.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 47c | 174.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 57c | 174.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 163.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 33c | 159.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 154.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 150.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 41c | 135.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 38c | 134.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 55c | 126$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 24c | 125.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed Yes | 60c | 124.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 38c | 123.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 35c | 119.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 112.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 54c | 110.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 61c | 109.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…9d28backed Yes | 71c | 109.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 69c | 109.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked Yes | 66c | 108.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 54c | 105.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…ed8abacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 34c | 99.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 61c | 97.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 59c | 84.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 40c | 81.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 40c | 75.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 41c | 73.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 71.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 62c | 71.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 71.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 56c | 70.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 68c | 69.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 49c | 68.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 63.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 59.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…e3fcbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 56.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 71c | 54.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 37c | 53.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 60c | 53.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 39c | 53.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 34c | 51.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b846backed Yes | 50c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 59c | 50.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…9456backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 55c | 48.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.