Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa92e0732a0afcb520b2c413bc36e59bf1a172b997eba1312cd75173832bc5fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 17c | 655.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 7c | 494.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 485.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 4c | 481.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 465.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 379.62$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 12c | 337.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 7c | 321.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…9d28backed Yes | 17c | 292.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…f253backed Yes | 38c | 261.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 37c | 260.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 208.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 64c | 206.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 29c | 198.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 34c | 191.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 69c | 182.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 182$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Yes | 14c | 176.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 172.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 168.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 31c | 157.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 14c | 141.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 11c | 139.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 138.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 125.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 78c | 115.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 14c | 115.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 37c | 109.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 108.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 100.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 100.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…f570backed Yes | 33c | 100.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…177abacked Yes | 33c | 91.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Yes | 22c | 89.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cecdbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 153 | 28.1%43 W · 110 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 78.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 76.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 67c | 74.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…a02bbacked Yes | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 72c | 69.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…4674backed Yes | 37c | 68.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 25c | 61.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 58.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 30c | 56.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 65c | 56.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 37c | 54.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 35c | 53.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…8929backed Yes | 34c | 52.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 34c | 52.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…9456backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 31c | 47.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 71c | 43.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 43.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…8e21backed No | 79c | 42.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…02debacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…aba2backed No | 64c | 35.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 63c | 31.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…e39ebacked No | 67c | 25.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 71c | 23.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 65c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked No | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 68c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 79c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 66c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.