Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3f665a5cd7af99dbe8b88e4dc0df7661b1f6b69645e877ca6aa0605356334a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 13c | 918.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 18c | 835.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.51 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 729.35$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 54c | 667.77$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 11c | 654.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 7c | 576.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.77 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 521.06$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 43c | 435.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 415$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 10c | 399.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 8c | 392.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 76c | 349.56$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 28c | 346.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed No | 79c | 337.44$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 19c | 321.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 40c | 299.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 290.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 28c | 289.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 21c | 267.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 79c | 264.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 24c | 262.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 28c | 260.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 39c | 260$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 33c | 252.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 7c | 228.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Yes | 18c | 224.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 213.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 213.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 205.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 74c | 205.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 41c | 192.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 24c | 188.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 188$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 184.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 148$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 29c | 146.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 10c | 139.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 137$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 136.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 47c | 135.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 43c | 132.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…2b9cbacked Yes | 35c | 130.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 27c | 125.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 13c | 116.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 28c | 112.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed Yes | 13c | 110.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 19c | 109$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 36c | 106.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 19c | 106.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 30c | 101.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 23c | 95.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 30c | 93.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 15c | 87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 18c | 85.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 27c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 76c | 78.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 77.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 17c | 75.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 75.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 29c | 73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…563bbacked Yes | 29c | 73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 25c | 72.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 37c | 71.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 29c | 71.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 16c | 70.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 73c | 66.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 22c | 61.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 35c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 68c | 51.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 50.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 41c | 39.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 39c | 38.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 38c | 36.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 29c | 35.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…909ebacked Yes | 37c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 30.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked Yes | 72c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 75c | 26.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 75c | 26.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Yes | 41c | 26.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 59c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 18.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.