Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. EDward Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb88c9fc0f6b99c5e1710679d2dffd175cc4f583793d7d63a43b5b9651a31c596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof LNG Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LNG Esports | 19c | 23,394$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.95 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 9,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 5,555$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG Esports | 8c | 5,161$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.67 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked LNG Esports | 21c | 5,123$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked LNG Esports | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed LNG Esports | 20c | 3,200$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked LNG Esports | 20c | 2,950$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed LNG Esports | 14c | 2,287$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.92 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LNG Esports | 21c | 2,200$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 1,610$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LNG Esports | 20c | 1,442$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LNG Esports | 2c | 1,237$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 1,042$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed LNG Esports | 21c | 1,040$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked LNG Esports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed LNG Esports | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 698.41$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 574$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked LNG Esports | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed LNG Esports | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 436.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LNG Esports | 24c | 335$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed LNG Esports | 20c | 306$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked LNG Esports | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed LNG Esports | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 150.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked LNG Esports | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…c66ebacked LNG Esports | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked EDward Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked LNG Esports | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LNG Esports | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed LNG Esports | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked EDward Gaming | 76c | 45.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 17.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.