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Tennis · resolved market

ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
De Minaurof Tiafoe, De Minaur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked De Minaur63c43,949$27,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,446.2639144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Tiafoe25c17,951$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,473.6222037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Tiafoe18c10,250$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.9326039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Tiafoe32c9,905$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed De Minaur68c6,408$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.561,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked De Minaur75c5,856$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.3762742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed De Minaur75c5,272$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.0717833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Tiafoe25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25067449.6%334 W · 340 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Tiafoe25c4,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12512231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tiafoe20c3,639$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.721,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed De Minaur60c2,685$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.0738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed De Minaur59c2,303$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.444151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed De Minaur61c2,193$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.683234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed De Minaur74c1,871$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.9158240%233 W · 349 L+1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed De Minaur72c1,500$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.516140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f84fbacked De Minaur75c1,450$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed De Minaur66c1,403$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.564751.1%24 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tiafoe43c1,334$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.491,44848.8%707 W · 741 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed De Minaur75c1,332$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9931650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tiafoe42c1,317$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.279130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Tiafoe25c1,300$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.56633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed De Minaur59c1,285$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.654843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed De Minaur75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27577046.9%361 W · 409 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked De Minaur75c892$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2232759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Tiafoe25c780$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tiafoe35c722.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.521,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Tiafoe16c668.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.728453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed De Minaur62c649.26$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.918351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3b…14fcbacked De Minaur74c618.73$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed De Minaur76c599.99$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14415452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3233…2adcbacked De Minaur75c542.1$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Tiafoe23c540$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12313844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed De Minaur75c520$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Tiafoe24c497.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.386835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Tiafoe25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed De Minaur75c442.78$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6915957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tiafoe8c399.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243243.1%186 W · 246 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed De Minaur76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7425352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tiafoe22c357.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4426746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked De Minaur56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.145158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tiafoe38c320$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed De Minaur76c306.58$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5838356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Tiafoe29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875042%21 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Tiafoe34c294.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked De Minaur67c287.48$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4811859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x410c…8c7fbacked Tiafoe28c282$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed De Minaur75c278.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8132141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca8…3e59backed De Minaur67c261.16$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.465158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Tiafoe26c217.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.54035%14 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed De Minaur60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.922840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Tiafoe24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed De Minaur76c196.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed Tiafoe11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…35dcbacked De Minaur76c176$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.242774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb7…3d19backed Tiafoe16c135.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked De Minaur75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed De Minaur76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5873147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…bdcabacked De Minaur77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed De Minaur76c123.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6832161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Tiafoe15c118.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5936040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Tiafoe24c108.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked De Minaur74c100.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…060ebacked Tiafoe10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c23…0b6abacked Tiafoe10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6be0backed De Minaur75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed De Minaur76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.688958.4%52 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed De Minaur69c97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.262147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Tiafoe43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358540%34 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0e…abaabacked Tiafoe25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…624abacked De Minaur77c77.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc559…ac69backed De Minaur68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Tiafoe24c71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.041,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked De Minaur76c70.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8116446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked De Minaur76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked De Minaur65c64.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.692157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed De Minaur76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed De Minaur75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.512256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d6…796dbacked De Minaur55c44.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed De Minaur75c41.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.333063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed De Minaur76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa6…d04abacked Tiafoe34c37.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…83abbacked De Minaur73c27.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0b…41febacked Tiafoe45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747e…a528backed De Minaur76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed De Minaur76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322,34846.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L+54.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked De Minaur76c13.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.