Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6849b64cac48843c3cd89e04de181e2ef5aa1d60fb59e4dbe587d266ba1f8e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 896$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 52c | 772.44$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 10c | 612.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4f25backed Yes | 49c | 601.67$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 12c | 565.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 535.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 48c | 454.43$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 409$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 45c | 348.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 57c | 321.23$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 44c | 299.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 283.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 282.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 50c | 276.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 33c | 272.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 261$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 28c | 232.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 41c | 218.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 46c | 215.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 55c | 212.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 57c | 193.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 38c | 192$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 183.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 48c | 182.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 25c | 175.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed No | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 172.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 45c | 167$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fe42backed No | 50c | 149.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 53c | 141.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 51c | 138.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 50c | 137.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 136.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 49c | 136.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 130.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 48c | 126.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 126.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 35c | 111.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 46c | 109.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 40c | 103.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 45c | 102.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 102$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 54c | 100.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…2b9cbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 51c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 86.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 85.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 64c | 83.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 82.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 61c | 82.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 57c | 82.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 45c | 81.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 77.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 50c | 76.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 75.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 72.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 70.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 69.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 38c | 68.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 44c | 68.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 49c | 62.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 58c | 59.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 49c | 59.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 35c | 57.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 42c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…f570backed No | 54c | 50.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 56c | 47.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 32c | 46.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 46.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 45c | 45.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 45.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.