Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecbeed6a6a65ddb8a8edbe61e9f21abf9169b39a740116fae44c844a789b7d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 911$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.31 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 8c | 903.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.16 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 11c | 709.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 20c | 701.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 604.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 7c | 583.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.7 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 8c | 567.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.07 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 566.06$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.09 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 552.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.07 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 10c | 494.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.17 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 431.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.18 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 14c | 422.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 389.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.93 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 8c | 360.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 60c | 324.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 25c | 322.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 15c | 314.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.22 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 310.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.89 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 13c | 305.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 10c | 290.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 282.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 254$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.43 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 246$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 43c | 239.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 229.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 23c | 224.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 51c | 213.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 10c | 208.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 22c | 190.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 14c | 187.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 13c | 172.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 17c | 168.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 53c | 164.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed Yes | 16c | 163.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 22c | 155.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 11c | 154.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 14c | 144$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…ad70backed Yes | 11c | 140.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 134 | 11.9%16 W · 118 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 139.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 23c | 132.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 21c | 121.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 12c | 118.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…2b9cbacked Yes | 74c | 110.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 11c | 109.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 79c | 102.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 14c | 99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 69c | 93.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 49c | 92.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 14c | 85.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 13c | 85.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 13c | 81.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 16c | 80.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 18c | 79.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 29c | 73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 17c | 68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…563bbacked Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 76c | 63.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 19c | 61.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 17c | 60.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 56.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 42c | 53.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 54c | 46.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 28c | 46.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 32c | 43.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 63c | 37.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 54c | 30.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 27.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…178bbacked No | 61c | 24.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 21.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 20.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…3cecbacked No | 72c | 20.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 78c | 17.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.