Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3db396de5915dd781770d102ec8ae9251f413a82e643c8dc8ee2d706008e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe314…3c94backed Yes | 0c | 8,796$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…587ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,473$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 6c | 1,191$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 738$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 730.39$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 30c | 622.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 489.26$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 30c | 402.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 353.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 27c | 246.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d4a1backed Yes | 27c | 224.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 216.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 72c | 213.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 70c | 211.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 37c | 207.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 35c | 199.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 191$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 183.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 177.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 27c | 171.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 40c | 163.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 158.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 158.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 153.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 145.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 27c | 145.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 69c | 129.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 32c | 126.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 120.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 117.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 69c | 117.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 31c | 113.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 75c | 110.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 102.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 29c | 101.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 30c | 101.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 28c | 100.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…fdf1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed Yes | 16c | 99.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 97.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 71c | 96.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 27c | 93.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 28c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 83.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 73c | 83.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 82.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 36c | 76.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes | 28c | 74.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 70.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 73c | 70.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 69c | 66.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 66.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 64.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 63.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…4674backed Yes | 41c | 60.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 55.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 55.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 29c | 55.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 54.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 51.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…2868backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 49.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 45.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 69c | 44.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…8f53backed No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 41.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…b9d6backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 251 | 19.9%50 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 39.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 39c | 37.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 33c | 37.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 74c | 37.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…8099backed No | 76c | 34.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.