Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f50d52965ffc0a588c56f5c9b77760e62a4a90cc8e7f71b9becb484d73fdd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 12c | 816.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.67 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 683.56$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 34c | 511.9$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.85 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 484.43$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 14c | 435$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 379.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 52c | 215$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 68c | 130$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 60c | 117$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Under | 59c | 113.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 49c | 79.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 65.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 59c | 50.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 65c | 37.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed Over | 63c | 36.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 28.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 43c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 26.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 50c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.