Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb097be4ab76be238575c58d8f59ac3df55a1c787fdd69761b1ef90a2705da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 2,412$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 1,519$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.8 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 48c | 1,452$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.93 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 29c | 457.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.93 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 73c | 437.15$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 246.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 74c | 243.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 136.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 101.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 28c | 81.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…40ddbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 63c | 23.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 74c | 20.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.