TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Fayha Saudi Clubof Al Fayha Saudi Club, Al Riyadh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,801 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1262…2fc9backed Al Fayha Saudi Club53c377.21$200 inWon+$177.299254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club47c367.18$173 inLost-$172.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club18c196.55$35 inLost-$35.383831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club18c192.67$35 inLost-$34.686634.8%23 W · 43 L+13.5wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+156.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Al Fayha Saudi Club53c187.92$100 inWon+$88.324652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club18c169.12$31 inWon+$138.121421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Fayha Saudi Club71c108.79$77 inWon+$31.765,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Fayha Saudi Club53c86.78$46 inWon+$40.71,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club37c70.27$26 inLost-$2625742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club53c54$29 inWon+$25.3826348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Al Fayha Saudi Club53c54$29 inWon+$25.3814949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club56c53.57$30 inLost-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club31c49$15 inLost-$15.3536142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club46c40.55$19 inWon+$21.8758542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Al Fayha Saudi Club53c34.49$18 inWon+$16.212657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.