Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Wu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a20101ea5c40f704ecb89477cb89ced75232f0de088acafaa0aac124aaab136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Wu | 21c | 1,624$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.58 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…e569backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,121$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Medvedev | 79c | 942.06$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wu | 11c | 901.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Medvedev | 77c | 716.76$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wu | 10c | 507.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wu | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wu | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wu | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Medvedev | 78c | 382.61$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Medvedev | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Medvedev | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wu | 17c | 234.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wu | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wu | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Wu | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Medvedev | 78c | 196.19$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wu | 22c | 177.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Medvedev | 79c | 152.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Wu | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Medvedev | 77c | 130.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Wu | 22c | 101.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wu | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Medvedev | 78c | 93.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Medvedev | 78c | 93.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wu | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medvedev | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed Medvedev | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.