TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61cd…60fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$206.09
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.62
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+468.9%+$3,435.69
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$403.23
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$22.75
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$186.65
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$106.14
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$58.81
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$56.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$5,162.77
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+146.7%+$146.72
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.65
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$970.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$56.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,694.89
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+30.2%+$992.95
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+59.4%+$372.43
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+65.5%+$523.69
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,528Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$2,478.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,420Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$1,361.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$113.46
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75.64
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.