WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7886d58553394abb2269b9be02385a2133fe1c7b26136903bcabb42811a213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Minnesota Lynx, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 4,975$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.38 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 4,360$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.38 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,914$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.08 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,677$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,505$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 979.23$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.82 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 805$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 583.91$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 530$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 504.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 501.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.22 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 493.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 383.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 276.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 275.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 274.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 263.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 215.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 205.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 204.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 196.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…f38fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 185.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 167.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 144.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 142.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 119.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 112.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 101.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 68.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 68.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 65.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 55.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 53.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 47.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 40.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 19.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.