WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4da5b7e127c23ba84ea33f8c6db95c2c177665f408fadd14dd7d0756d05fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Minnesota Lynx, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 8,078$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.14 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 7,270$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 6,540$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.5 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 5,000$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 4,379$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.13 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 3,430$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.73 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 2,638$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.25 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 2,461$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.82 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 2,167$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 1,412$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.54 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,185$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.52 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 705$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.4 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 592.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.99 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 396$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 311.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 275.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 237.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 224.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…09b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 111.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 108.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 92.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 86.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 85.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 69.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 66.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 56.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 43.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 41.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 37.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 36.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Toronto Tempo | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 32.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 29.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 25.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 25.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 23.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 21.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Toronto Tempo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.