TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Lynxof Toronto Tempo, Minnesota Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Tempo9c41,389$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.427740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Toronto Tempo0c13,150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.05100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Toronto Tempo10c7,767$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.021050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo6c7,722$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.861,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo5c5,330$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0719428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo5c3,725$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.734726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Toronto Tempo8c2,622$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8812144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Toronto Tempo7c1,954$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Toronto Tempo2c1,700$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.813024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383b…11b8backed Toronto Tempo1c1,368$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Toronto Tempo5c1,039$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.47395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Toronto Tempo8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Toronto Tempo2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.326746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Toronto Tempo8c999.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2644915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d4…68a9backed Toronto Tempo10c872$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda17…4b77backed Toronto Tempo10c824.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee30…9259backed Toronto Tempo12c813$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Toronto Tempo10c776.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.698733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo6c768.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.232150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Toronto Tempo5c738.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.496643.9%29 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo5c700$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1332540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto Tempo8c699.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5823955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9b…c907backed Toronto Tempo11c676$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo9c633.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.631448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6b…321fbacked Toronto Tempo12c616$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Toronto Tempo4c590$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.968535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…126bbacked Toronto Tempo11c578$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo9c546.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08d7…ea84backed Toronto Tempo11c534$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Toronto Tempo9c532.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2736454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0de…c11ebacked Toronto Tempo9c530$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2664…e655backed Toronto Tempo8c529$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Toronto Tempo11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo9c499.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ea…43cfbacked Toronto Tempo12c499.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b8d…44b1backed Toronto Tempo6c495.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.110237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…4dc7backed Toronto Tempo10c469.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f0…a955backed Toronto Tempo10c456$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ec…86d3backed Toronto Tempo14c455.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4413…0f9bbacked Toronto Tempo11c451$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c6…4b18backed Toronto Tempo9c445$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo11c433.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8723245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Toronto Tempo12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Tempo10c397$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.726953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a65…d3a2backed Toronto Tempo8c389$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Toronto Tempo6c386.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4516633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Toronto Tempo6c372.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.375831%18 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cdd…a34cbacked Toronto Tempo13c370$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f7…f410backed Toronto Tempo9c338.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e17…3f5dbacked Toronto Tempo9c331$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Toronto Tempo9c312.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.132948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Toronto Tempo7c304$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2810445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c7…925fbacked Toronto Tempo10c293.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…da26backed Toronto Tempo11c283.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…07bfbacked Toronto Tempo11c266.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Toronto Tempo10c257$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Tempo10c256.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.636934.8%24 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Toronto Tempo10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Toronto Tempo10c247.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.769430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1361…71c9backed Toronto Tempo14c231$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Toronto Tempo5c230.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Toronto Tempo7c230$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…45dfbacked Toronto Tempo11c224$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Toronto Tempo10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Toronto Tempo5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Toronto Tempo8c188.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613422.4%30 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa5…8ec9backed Toronto Tempo8c185$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Toronto Tempo9c182.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.392425%6 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Toronto Tempo7c180$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8415250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9725…292bbacked Toronto Tempo10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d1…4c79backed Toronto Tempo11c158$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…ee58backed Toronto Tempo12c156.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Toronto Tempo10c152.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Tempo10c147.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Toronto Tempo10c145.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Toronto Tempo11c128.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo9c123.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.128447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372b…cbf5backed Toronto Tempo11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…d9ebbacked Toronto Tempo17c117.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Toronto Tempo10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108457.1%48 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4284…9e75backed Toronto Tempo12c99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7506…cd08backed Toronto Tempo13c97.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888a…5b99backed Toronto Tempo12c96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.