WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff870cc9ff9b631e41043b770fe2ec62a7e43e7aa9b9b3de1826309dfa86b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 6,134$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.08 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 3,990$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 3,500$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 3,212$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.34 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 52c | 2,995$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.76 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 2,274$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.05 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 48c | 1,775$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,067$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 1,040$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.76 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 53c | 955.6$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.13 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 387.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 386.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 309.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…09b9backed Under | 51c | 187.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 51c | 185.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 157.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 145.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 109$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 51c | 102.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 52c | 93.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 54.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 51.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 52c | 46.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 44.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 52c | 44.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b6fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…e9bdbacked Over | 50c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.