WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d5a574affc17ac7bf9d510de04caed526fdb7434127e148557018d5b589cfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 53c | 2,760$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,300$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 1,042$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.31 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 911.65$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 47c | 405.51$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 155.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 151.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 48c | 111.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 57.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 56c | 41.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 39.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 39.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 45c | 22.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.