WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6130062fae5aeee6fcdac4fb72e7aca77ab4624355420e9234c7fad8332f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 28,120$14,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,892.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 18,661$9,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,226.92 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 50c | 9,774$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 5,426$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.59 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 4,102$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.04 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 3,882$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 3,667$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.78 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 1,571$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.79 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,361$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.82 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Under | 52c | 1,354$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 1,190$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,118$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 73c | 1,100$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 1,079$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 979.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 594.29$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.15 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 411.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 52c | 362.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 49c | 285.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 49c | 275$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 263.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 233.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…11b8backed Under | 29c | 131.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 11c | 125.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 19c | 124.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 117.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 51c | 99.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Under | 52c | 96.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 91.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 27c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 52c | 56.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…09b9backed Under | 51c | 48.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 46.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over | 66c | 45.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 69c | 45.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 48c | 44.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Over | 51c | 39.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 33c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 51c | 30.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 46c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 71c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.