WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed516b5d73b73d74c950d19bf90ba4e20b678f45d68d193ad6445aa6fe4e37bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 57c | 5,032$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.43 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 43c | 1,535$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.6 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 19c | 1,240$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 45c | 839$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 19c | 481.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 276$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 247.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Under | 15c | 230.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 228$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 80c | 187.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 182.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 143.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 43c | 140.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 79c | 110.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 108.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 100.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 79c | 98.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 20c | 91.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 88.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 42c | 76.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 58c | 51.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…9282backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 80c | 49.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 47.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 46.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.