Champions League · resolved market
Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf431a51980bfa075687f09fa12c52a1f94d2167af43bddec1b720f011f8b8267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,500$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.97 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 2,976$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.53 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,378$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 8c | 2,375$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 8c | 1,813$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 1,415$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Yes | 4c | 935.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 906.8$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 895$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 641$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 544.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 79c | 467.28$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 428.19$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…3657backed Yes | 9c | 377.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 319.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 305.86$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3a15backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 263.87$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7579backed Yes | 7c | 259.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 252.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…1120backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 22c | 249$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 22c | 208.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 184.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 8c | 163.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…2c89backed Yes | 8c | 163.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 159.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 7c | 149.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 21c | 143.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 21c | 139.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 22c | 136.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 20c | 136$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 8c | 127.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 16c | 119.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 78c | 114.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 96.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…6c08backed Yes | 20c | 71.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…8892backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…b046backed No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…248ebacked Yes | 21c | 60.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 60.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 21c | 50.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 22c | 49.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Yes | 21c | 49.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…5b43backed No | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 80c | 44.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 36.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…a391backed No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…02bbbacked No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 80c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…6151backed No | 80c | 25.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked No | 80c | 17.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 217 | 60.8%132 W · 85 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?this page
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?No won
- Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.