CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a50eb2fc7500eb1c3bbeca0796300282270b49f343d47d7d9330b80184982b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 46c | 1,382$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.14 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 46c | 1,308$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.32 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 47c | 1,149$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.11 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 679.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 679.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 46c | 679.46$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 339$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 303.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under | 52c | 298.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 50c | 216.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Over | 58c | 172.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 21c | 156.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Over | 50c | 152.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 49c | 148.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 47c | 145.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 18c | 144.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 123.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 113.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 48c | 101.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 90.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Over | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 68.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Over | 52c | 67.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 62.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 47.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…5952backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 30.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…1d52backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 53c | 23.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Under | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5)BIG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.