TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs45c44,914$20,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,119.6510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks58c24,947$14,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,47725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks50c15,445$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,664.141,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks58c7,571$4,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs42c6,475$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.221,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Spurs51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks55c4,740$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.6655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Knicks59c3,391$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.961560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Knicks59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.837963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Spurs42c2,983$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.772352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks49c2,669$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.22,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Spurs41c2,307$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0510248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks56c2,239$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.581,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs50c2,037$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.941,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8205349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs51c1,998$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.652,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs41c1,760$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Spurs43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Knicks50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.265649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks49c867.01$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs42c799.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks58c757.09$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…5c34backed Knicks60c744.9$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks47c649.93$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs42c639.09$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.661,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks59c546.05$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8812451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks57c526.32$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1113161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs50c491.97$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.551,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs42c429.16$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Knicks59c416.66$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.831070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Knicks53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0911450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks52c412.87$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.644355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Spurs53c379.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks51c379.24$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs49c373.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7825340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Knicks58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks49c326$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.262,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd5…6a99backed Knicks48c314.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.721478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Knicks59c310$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.12642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe7…ffc9backed Knicks57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+142.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Knicks50c297.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.61988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.44per pick45cpaid+105.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks51c294.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Knicks56c268.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.075257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Knicks59c255.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.715961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Knicks59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2413240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b3…6201backed Knicks59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks50c248.12$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.964151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.191,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Knicks58c229.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.612450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs43c227.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks68c208.27$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e8…9cf2backed Knicks58c201.46$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.461450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Knicks50c201.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.094047.5%19 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+112.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks58c200.28$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8418653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…ba0bbacked Knicks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Spurs49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Spurs42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.918534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1129438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks52c186.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…d2bdbacked Knicks55c186.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Knicks56c179.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2910757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks58c173.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7312150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…9b53backed Knicks58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks60c171.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks53c169.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1218140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed Knicks59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Knicks58c169$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9814049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks51c164.39$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs42c163.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.861,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Knicks59c163.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks50c163.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.49853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.277360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks41c156.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Spurs42c144$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Knicks58c143.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4731249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Knicks58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9326147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs53c132$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.963946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs47c131.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs42c124$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Knicks58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks49c117$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed3…95d7backed Knicks58c112.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Spurs51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Spurs51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Spurs51c96.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Knicks58c91.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Knicks59c89.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.835347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Knicks56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+54.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Knicks58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Knicks58c83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.863256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks48c79.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3922753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.