MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf38bfe8de3ff76081fd564229c670f0f99166751373cf3ba8652d6cad10cad5

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Mets, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $307,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,572 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds	22c	44,447$9,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,611.81	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets	55c	42,052$23,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,923.23	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds	24c	40,533$9,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,603.65	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	16,698$7,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,514	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets	60c	15,000$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets	64c	13,380$8,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,773.12	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	12,405$5,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,458.22	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	56c	10,050$5,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,429.63	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds	17c	8,500$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.99	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	7,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	78c	6,686$5,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.69	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cincinnati Reds	45c	6,658$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,996	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds	0c	6,303$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	6,301$2,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052.85	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds	46c	5,676$2,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,611.09	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed New York Mets	56c	4,464$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,964.29	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	75c	4,237$3,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.45	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds	22c	4,190$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.22	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets	56c	3,237$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.69	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds	23c	3,186$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	3,042$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.41	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	3,000$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.97	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	2,778$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets	56c	2,557$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.09	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Cincinnati Reds	46c	2,134$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.74	209	45%94 W · 115 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds	22c	2,097$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.98	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	1,938$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.54	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,800$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.71	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets	55c	1,701$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.41	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	70c	1,290$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.03	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds	21c	1,233$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.62	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82e2…ec75backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds	45c	1,100$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	1,043$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.57	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	370	32.7%121 W · 249 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cincinnati Reds	20c	999.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.86	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds	21c	999.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets	55c	980.85$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.38	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets	56c	910$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.4	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541a…1c30backed Cincinnati Reds	17c	787.18$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets	79c	708$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.4	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets	56c	614$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.16	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets	56c	593.53$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.4	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Cincinnati Reds	45c	555.56$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8f…c297backed New York Mets	55c	554.55$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.55	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	528.02$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.45	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	479.04$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.2	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked New York Mets	56c	455$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.2	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked New York Mets	55c	454.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets	68c	449.18$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.26	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed New York Mets	56c	446.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x526b…5269backed Cincinnati Reds	46c	408.35$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.84	114	23.7%27 W · 87 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked New York Mets	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	161	59.6%96 W · 65 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x708a…e130backed New York Mets	56c	380$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.2	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked New York Mets	52c	378$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.44	71	54.9%39 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cincinnati Reds	17c	371.3$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.79	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eec…6b3dbacked New York Mets	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets	74c	352$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.62	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	331.11$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Cincinnati Reds	23c	330.53$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.45	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Mets	64c	326.13$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.93	374	51.3%192 W · 182 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Cincinnati Reds	23c	313.15$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.59	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets	68c	311.5$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.79	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Cincinnati Reds	23c	308$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.58	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Cincinnati Reds	27c	300$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.18	704	50.1%353 W · 351 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed New York Mets	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+5.7wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	295.92$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Mets	79c	268.03$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.61	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked New York Mets	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd2…564ebacked New York Mets	55c	260.62$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.28	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	60cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds	14c	260.62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	260$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets	77c	250$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets	55c	244.53$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.04	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Cincinnati Reds	26c	235.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	225$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked New York Mets	53c	224.57$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.71	289	52.6%152 W · 137 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…eedbbacked Cincinnati Reds	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds	25c	216.46$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.29	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5fd…842dbacked New York Mets	79c	204.97$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.75	19	89.5%17 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+21%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Cincinnati Reds	22c	194.53$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked New York Mets	55c	183.02$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.36	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed New York Mets	55c	182.6$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.17	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed New York Mets	58c	180$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	1,299	50.9%661 W · 638 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed New York Mets	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Cincinnati Reds	22c	173.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.67	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x738e…1f9abacked Cincinnati Reds	45c	162.2$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed New York Mets	68c	155.31$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.04	181	49.2%89 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Reds	38c	150$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	656	51.2%336 W · 320 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2389…8011backed New York Mets	79c	141.03$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	140$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Mets	53c	135$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.67	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	415	49.2%204 W · 211 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event