MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e4adad9931205aa4fd6b14171c4bbe781ccb8077df55b7f01932ba2bc9da15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 55c | 22,605$12,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,452.37 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 55c | 12,085$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.86 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 57c | 8,743$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 60c | 6,014$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 4,674$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 4,512$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 3,747$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 3,489$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 3,472$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 3,266$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 2,605$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 1,902$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.42 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 1,397$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.77 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,257$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.43 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 1,061$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 56c | 894.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 797.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 45c | 666.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.92 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.2 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 564.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 391.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 354$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 326$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 54c | 299.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 260.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 252$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 187.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 43c | 153.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 23c | 152.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 34c | 150.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 136.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 59c | 135.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 119.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 46c | 104.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 76c | 103.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 45c | 102.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 83.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 44c | 57.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 61c | 55.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 46c | 50.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…f942backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 41c | 33.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 47c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 55c | 30.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 74c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 57c | 24.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…4ac5backed Under | 52c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.