TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No80c10,855$8,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,683.413163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes20c8,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4001931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No79c5,116$4,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,020.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes19c4,211$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.535341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes20c4,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes19c4,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,26011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes22c3,902$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.936317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c2,677$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes19c2,583$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.7113043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes1c2,123$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.91646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60017544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes19c1,579$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.954522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes12c1,500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31511828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes19c1,150$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.981,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes18c1,078$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.6335229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6311325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6312514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13c…17c0backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick23cpaid+105.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103857.9%22 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked No17c998.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9812029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes19c987.72$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.057431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes23c875$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67532429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes19c789.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.4711417.5%20 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes19c651.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.295326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes19c627.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.086026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked No11c612.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.383411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No27c575$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.432,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3218742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c5…61e1backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.324753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.326338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.326233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3210536.2%38 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes17c499.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.419017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes20c485.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1619713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes25c483.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Yes20c480.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.56314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes15c350.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.718843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212d…7766backed Yes19c315.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.79944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+89.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes9c311.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1134526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes20c307.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0542336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d32…98c6backed Yes18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466040%24 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes19c284.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.216836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes18c271.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.717638.1%67 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes66c271$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0213268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x34c0…7d3abacked Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.161915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No44c254.81$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.352,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes19c254.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0819031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19538924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2421…9d3cbacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb679…e5d5backed Yes20c244.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ab…e543backed Yes19c236.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.841526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes18c235.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4521029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3802…1a48backed Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5311040.9%45 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a22…0fe8backed Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.533125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee1…ef01backed Yes20c205$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed No11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes18c200$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.117335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No80c188$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.41,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes11c186.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8115837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f33…7af9backed Yes20c180$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1449043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e65…681dbacked Yes17c170$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.12142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes21c166.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6728134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No11c161.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.371,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Yes19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8915522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes19c152.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6311414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed Yes19c150$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.511647.4%55 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes19c148.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4811338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4113…449abacked Yes20c147.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.782528%7 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3630928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc7…1483backed Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.364346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5814842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed No11c129.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014043.6%61 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…6bdbbacked Yes19c120.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes19c110$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes18c109.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.196026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed No13c108.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.134717%8 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…1dd9backed Yes19c107.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.892433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fe…10e3backed Yes19c107.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.895446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2631543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2629645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…a4dcbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2615130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dd…5bc1backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+78.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2617664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2610051%51 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.265628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014720.4%30 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8017727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd61…9193backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…2c32backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808942.7%38 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c2f…9a04backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+112.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.