Fifa International · resolved market
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2740b1f33f701127d28143cef71ba8e1481845dd4c6e7bcc86c3601da69bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 3,342$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.23 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 61c | 3,149$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.12 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 75c | 2,300$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 76c | 1,430$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 1,066$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.92 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 74c | 630.95$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 75c | 599.91$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 587.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 76c | 561.5$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 74c | 499.94$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…0b68backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 25c | 392.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 348$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 75c | 264.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 208.37$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 25c | 195.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…d26abacked Yes | 26c | 195.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 28c | 158.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 131.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 122.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 74c | 117.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 113.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 23c | 108.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 76c | 77.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c08bbacked Yes | 28c | 54.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 27c | 54.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 25c | 49.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 44.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…f135backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 39.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 28.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 65c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…aee5backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assiststhis page
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 4+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 3+ goalsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 4+ shotsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 3+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 3+ shotsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.