TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f79…dfb6backed Yes1c14,463$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No72c3,258$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.1719252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No71c3,087$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.1913163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No72c1,930$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.48652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No73c1,920$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.3946464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes28c1,825$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.471,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes29c1,725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No62c1,628$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.684652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No72c1,617$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.732765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes27c1,431$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.067431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No75c1,187$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6327520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes45c1,119$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No76c1,010$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.617259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No73c716$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No64c711.56$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2351429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes24c606.76$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14524233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes32c489.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No68c429.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5525454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes28c394.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5216425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No72c384.77$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3114860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcda…f809backed Yes25c357$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes26c350$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9125418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No72c341.57$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.012,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes13c312$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4924825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…8f39backed Yes10c294.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.417041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No75c290.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes35c282.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Yes36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.517950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes24c211.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Yes35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1e…790cbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504949%24 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020630.6%63 W · 143 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes25c172.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.16750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c159.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c8…7a54backed No74c142$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No70c140.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3637971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No73c135.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2863035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes29c130.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.461,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4abe…9ffbbacked Yes28c123.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x845a…5606backed Yes28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.696584.6%55 W · 10 L+11.4wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+29%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No69c106.45$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3328873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3334646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No75c97.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No80c92.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No72c85.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9770750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe44…af27backed Yes29c84.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.279252.2%48 W · 44 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes28c82.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ef…19aebacked Yes28c82.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.419944.2%88 W · 111 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc2…74d6backed Yes28c79.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47737.7%29 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes22c79.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.464528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes26c77.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014043.6%61 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No56c70.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011526.1%30 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Yes47c53.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No57c52.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4221858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf844…50d3backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No71c46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2833729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d63…0687backed Yes27c43.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8620848.6%101 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes27c43.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f55…22b9backed Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216663.9%106 W · 60 L+20.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3440352.1%210 W · 193 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked Yes25c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.525748.6%125 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378a…09e2backed Yes28c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.767860.3%47 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Yes29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1825549%125 W · 130 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a5…b558backed Yes29c41.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Yes27c41.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.232943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33d2…d976backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick31cpaid-90.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6db6…5176backed Yes28c39.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.177615.8%12 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466d…ffb1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed No76c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7231553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d45…9b63backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No74c23.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2412550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No72c21.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9311854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3211…bcf7backed No72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8836953.9%199 W · 170 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc2…fbfdbacked No75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2510554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.