TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes15c1,623$250 inLost-$25045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes19c1,600$304 inLost-$3049745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes25c1,126$284 inLost-$283.957636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No74c795.19$591 inWon+$204.1532765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed No74c540.54$400 inWon+$140.542365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No75c380.7$286 inWon+$95.1777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c229.61$50 inLost-$50.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0769…c7ecbacked No74c179.33$132 inWon+$47.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No80c172.46$138 inWon+$34.872,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes25c153$38 inLost-$38.173,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes18c134.22$24 inLost-$24.1619031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes25c130$32 inLost-$31.852,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes19c129.4$25 inLost-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes28c72.68$20 inLost-$2039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost-$2011526.1%30 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes26c67.12$17 inLost-$17.2620036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No73c30$22 inWon+$8.11,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No73c29.63$22 inWon+$839951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No78c22.73$18 inWon+$531171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a7d…049cbacked No80c20$16 inWon+$4.053745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6040…4c57backed No75c15.73$12 inWon+$3.932277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.