TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins46c80,974$37,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,757.81,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Texas Rangers54c73,183$39,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,518.5941149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins45c23,285$10,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,806.760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Texas Rangers0c20,678$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.284214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers55c13,560$7,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4581,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers0c5,320$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.128762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Texas Rangers6c5,121$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.238220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…5baebacked Texas Rangers0c5,118$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.015653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texas Rangers54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins68c4,503$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.798,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers1c3,853$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins65c2,712$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.8512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers55c2,566$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.042,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Texas Rangers55c2,174$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers54c1,994$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.932,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Texas Rangers55c1,917$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.2427351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers37c1,894$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.54,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Texas Rangers35c1,889$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.1591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Texas Rangers3c1,772$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3660043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins44c1,673$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.8461947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Texas Rangers36c1,454$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Texas Rangers1c1,165$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Texas Rangers55c1,138$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.061,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins64c1,137$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.3411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Minnesota Twins45c1,022$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.2222153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Minnesota Twins65c1,007$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7124252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Minnesota Twins65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Texas Rangers55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Texas Rangers56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014457.6%83 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Minnesota Twins44c891.17$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.6637348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers55c872.72$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins54c860.49$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.474,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Texas Rangers16c768.83$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.166551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Texas Rangers50c736.69$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37019153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…bf03backed Minnesota Twins44c699.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers54c686.63$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.781,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Texas Rangers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins45c621.02$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers54c591.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.671,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Texas Rangers27c572.58$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8652228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins71c543.87$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.751,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.055,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e50…0c84backed Texas Rangers56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins50c409.64$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.413,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers38c405.93$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Texas Rangers55c370$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.548354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Texas Rangers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008757.5%50 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Texas Rangers11c354.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Texas Rangers24c346$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3254715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins75c338.49$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.894,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked Minnesota Twins60c336.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.398037.5%30 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Minnesota Twins61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.74454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Texas Rangers54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers55c299.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.492,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers23c281$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.626,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Texas Rangers43c277.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9843560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins46c271.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7494034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers38c262$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.858,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Texas Rangers55c249.09$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Texas Rangers55c241.82$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…ceafbacked Texas Rangers36c221.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2322653.1%120 W · 106 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers28c220.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.772,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Texas Rangers37c218$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6661250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…0d2bbacked Texas Rangers56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Texas Rangers37c191.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019163.4%121 W · 70 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Texas Rangers39c185$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1539151.9%203 W · 188 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Texas Rangers55c181.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Texas Rangers55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Texas Rangers55c174$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.717540.6%71 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Texas Rangers58c166.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6720647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Texas Rangers55c164.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.251,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Minnesota Twins45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8841549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Texas Rangers26c155$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Texas Rangers36c153.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Minnesota Twins69c150.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.462646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Texas Rangers55c146.62$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8116844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers15c145$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.065,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9b…a181backed Texas Rangers55c144.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020543.9%90 W · 115 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Texas Rangers56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Texas Rangers55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…6c94backed Texas Rangers37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508658.1%50 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Minnesota Twins46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.225155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins46c127.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0858943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Minnesota Twins45c118.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.137058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Texas Rangers21c116.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531032.9%102 W · 208 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f62…b6bcbacked Texas Rangers55c112.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.871735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Minnesota Twins65c105.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.262454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Texas Rangers41c103.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.11,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bb8…c74dbacked Minnesota Twins46c103.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.985743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Minnesota Twins46c102.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3757747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140b…d0d9backed Texas Rangers25c101.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9584…94b8backed Texas Rangers55c96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Texas Rangers19c95.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x6f3a…6c67backed Texas Rangers55c92.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.771250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Minnesota Twins66c88.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0728952.6%152 W · 137 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…daecbacked Texas Rangers35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Minnesota Twins65c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Texas Rangers30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.