MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63d62959aa07f23bc4d5fa34f1f8a6be94f76d47e1c194f8c762b6aaac07352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 107,456$54,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,802.7 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 102,040$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,040.4 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 7,347$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.94 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 4,321$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 3,889$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 51c | 971$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 602.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 20c | 454.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 360.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 310$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 50c | 279.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Under | 36c | 203.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 185.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 181.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 68c | 178.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 115.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…6365backed Under | 51c | 50.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 49.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 47.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 65c | 42.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…0925backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…1df3backed Under | 52c | 37.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 69cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…19a6backed Under | 52c | 36.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Under | 51c | 35.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c7b5backed Under | 52c | 34.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…4289backed Under | 52c | 34.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…42f1backed Under | 52c | 33.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Under | 52c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…1b94backed Under | 52c | 33.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…7e20backed Under | 52c | 32.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Under | 52c | 32.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…8179backed Under | 52c | 32.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8eebbacked Under | 52c | 32.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…95d7backed Under | 52c | 32.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…e8fcbacked Under | 52c | 31.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…3b98backed Under | 52c | 31.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Over | 49c | 31.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…b036backed Under | 52c | 30.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…e59dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Under | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d06…7c29backed Under | 52c | 30.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Under | 52c | 30.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…adc3backed Under | 52c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Under | 52c | 29.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…b7d4backed Under | 52c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…5bd3backed Under | 52c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…bb82backed Under | 52c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…07febacked Under | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…cc0abacked Under | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…0ab2backed Under | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Under | 52c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…a6abbacked Under | 52c | 28.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…d280backed Under | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Under | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under | 52c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…f426backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa2…60b9backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…8045backed Under | 52c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd15…d9c0backed Under | 51c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Under | 52c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked Under | 52c | 27.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791a…6ddabacked Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…03ebbacked Under | 52c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…5069backed Under | 52c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…fe3ebacked Under | 52c | 26.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…d069backed Under | 52c | 26.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Under | 52c | 26.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 44c | 25.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…7599backed Under | 52c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…d016backed Under | 52c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under | 52c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…a5f9backed Under | 52c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…e8c1backed Under | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…1e56backed Under | 52c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…4843backed Under | 52c | 24.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…6045backed Under | 52c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…14edbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…c3b5backed Under | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…7347backed Under | 52c | 24.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2a7backed Under | 52c | 24.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b5f5backed Under | 52c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…6996backed Under | 52c | 24.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…727bbacked Under | 52c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.