TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c107,456$54,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,802.728350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over49c102,040$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,040.446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over49c7,347$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.9412640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c4,321$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.8511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c3,889$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.416,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over51c971$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7925249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c602.89$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under20c454.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9254715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20439440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c360.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.333,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c310$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.12,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9969351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over50c279.28$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4229656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under36c203.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.646947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under43c185.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.216,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over64c181.15$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.216,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over68c178.83$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c115.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5138142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.636956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…6365backed Under51c50.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.96850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c49.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.184,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over47c47.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.113,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over65c42.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.822,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371b…0925backed Over80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a9…1df3backed Under52c37.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick69cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc106…19a6backed Under52c36.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Under51c35.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94dc…c7b5backed Under52c34.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Under52c34.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960a…42f1backed Under52c33.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5574…f9fbbacked Under52c33.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19a…1b94backed Under52c33.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d2…7e20backed Under52c32.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1140%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f6f…44e9backed Under52c32.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fc8…8179backed Under52c32.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8eebbacked Under52c32.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b04…95d7backed Under52c32.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.691172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee27…e8fcbacked Under52c31.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6111…3b98backed Under52c31.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Over49c31.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.997444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…cc49backed Under52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Under52c30.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.061947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bac…e59dbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over49c30.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5727454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Under52c30.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d06…7c29backed Under52c30.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed Under52c30.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.692070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f1…adc3backed Under52c30.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Under52c29.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3b…b7d4backed Under52c29.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc52…5bd3backed Under52c29.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Under52c29.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.391872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4799…07febacked Under52c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90bd…cc0abacked Under52c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f46…9f54backed Under53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.321957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…0ab2backed Under52c28.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.031353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca7…0720backed Under52c28.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79f…a6abbacked Under52c28.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b8…d280backed Under52c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x290b…394abacked Under52c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under52c28.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.662050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43ea…f426backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa2…60b9backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under50c27.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.122,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744a…8045backed Under52c27.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd15…d9c0backed Under51c27.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae70…8194backed Under52c27.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4141…b90fbacked Under52c27.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.341464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791a…6ddabacked Under52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e9…03ebbacked Under52c26.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd8…5069backed Under52c26.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x570a…fe3ebacked Under52c26.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f91…d069backed Under52c26.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4c…745bbacked Under52c26.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771963.2%12 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under44c25.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cee…7599backed Under52c25.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2052…d016backed Under52c25.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under52c25.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…a5f9backed Under52c25.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0762…e8c1backed Under52c25.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e37…ac4abacked Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd96c…1e56backed Under52c24.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7dd…4843backed Under52c24.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.891163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68f4…6045backed Under52c24.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97c…14edbacked Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1950…c3b5backed Under52c24.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e5…7347backed Under52c24.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.681346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8711…d2a7backed Under52c24.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x440f…b5f5backed Under52c24.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed Under52c24.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.531457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3375…727bbacked Under52c24.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.