MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0fb434930fb8989e70faf269c6fe9f954352a778a1c4c9bbed28de85f6aab04

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox	54c	18,368$9,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,944.65	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees	46c	9,445$4,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,105.03	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees	46c	7,500$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,050	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	44c	3,432$1,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,928.27	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.98	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	46c	2,768$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.88	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked New York Yankees	46c	2,172$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.84	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox	56c	1,932$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.03	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox	57c	1,860$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.19	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees	44c	1,735$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.51	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox	55c	1,613$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.99	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago White Sox	57c	1,267$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.19	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox	55c	1,228$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.14	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked New York Yankees	45c	888.89$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.89	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked New York Yankees	45c	555.56$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.56	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Chicago White Sox	43c	541.41$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.81	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox	54c	528.29$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.36	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Chicago White Sox	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago White Sox	54c	499.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Yankees	46c	440$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.6	483	54.7%264 W · 219 L	+20.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees	44c	363.63$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.63	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed New York Yankees	45c	300$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox	55c	268.31$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.59	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees	43c	266$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.62	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees	45c	235.42$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.48	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees	44c	230$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.8	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed New York Yankees	57c	226.74$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.97	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+41.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox	43c	191.6$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked New York Yankees	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	156	39.1%61 W · 95 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Chicago White Sox	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox	38c	157.47$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees	43c	147.64$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.84	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox	55c	144.92$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Chicago White Sox	57c	140.28$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.96	435	60%261 W · 174 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox	53c	128.39$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.97	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Yankees	46c	110$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	564	40.4%228 W · 336 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Chicago White Sox	56c	102.52$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.3	577	47.7%275 W · 302 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.75	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees	45c	89.09$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Chicago White Sox	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Chicago White Sox	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New York Yankees	46c	79.83$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	413	46.7%193 W · 220 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked New York Yankees	55c	73.38$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees	44c	63.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.75	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed New York Yankees	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox	55c	62.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.96	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees	51c	60.03$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.41	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees	41c	59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.68	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed New York Yankees	45c	58$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.15	250	34.8%87 W · 163 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed New York Yankees	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Chicago White Sox	50c	54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	207	45.9%95 W · 112 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Chicago White Sox	59c	50.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.63	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked New York Yankees	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	816	51.8%423 W · 393 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees	71c	47.41$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Chicago White Sox	56c	44.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Chicago White Sox	56c	43.85$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.56	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed New York Yankees	45c	39.71$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.99	420	47.9%201 W · 219 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed New York Yankees	49c	38.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.43	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Chicago White Sox	48c	36.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago White Sox	39c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	570	46.8%267 W · 303 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked New York Yankees	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543b…e23dbacked New York Yankees	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked New York Yankees	44c	33.18$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.58	179	52%93 W · 86 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Chicago White Sox	58c	32.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Chicago White Sox	45c	31.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed New York Yankees	44c	31.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.54	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago White Sox	56c	31.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago White Sox	45c	27.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox	61c	26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Yankees	39c	26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	295	47.1%139 W · 156 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox	56c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox	53c	19.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event