MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104afb8bad4b6497ee89582d7111ace2d0c120955dafdee4ba443f2b6703118e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 106,502$48,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,511.02 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 53,755$29,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,145.79 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 31,833$14,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,508.22 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed Over | 52c | 27,580$14,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,420.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 20,056$10,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,830.03 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 17,219$9,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 56c | 9,217$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.94 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 6,675$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 5,352$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Under | 46c | 4,946$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 4,533$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 4,139$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.08 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 4,088$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,833$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,588$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 1,583$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 930.48$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 796.01$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 764.09$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 540$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 26c | 469.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.33 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 74c | 444.47$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 429$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 394.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 394$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 71c | 309.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Over | 31c | 240.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 240$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 240$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 228.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 199$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 190.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 176.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 172.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 149.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 55c | 148.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 41c | 145.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 55c | 144.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 74c | 134.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 128.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 63c | 118$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 68c | 114.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 55c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 64c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 91.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 55c | 81.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 55c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…6ce2backed Over | 38c | 72.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 37c | 69.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 56c | 62.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 56.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 44c | 53.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 53c | 41.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 41.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 53c | 40.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 37.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 77c | 36.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 78c | 34.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 33.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 47c | 33.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Under | 57c | 28.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 57c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…cbffbacked Under | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 54c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 55c | 20.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.