MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba61e4d77850f2f16a19cd83aceed84bf3367ffcb7d81baae6690e2320da3799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 10,330$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 64c | 10,286$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Athletics | 45c | 4,453$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.83 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 47c | 3,985$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 3,944$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 9c | 1,920$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,196$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Athletics | 48c | 989.58$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.58 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 960.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 41c | 933.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.54 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Athletics | 48c | 762$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Athletics | 40c | 540.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Athletics | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 10c | 477.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 461.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 381.8$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 330$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 329.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Athletics | 39c | 242.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 223.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Athletics | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 10c | 201.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Athletics | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 135.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 129.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Athletics | 46c | 119.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Athletics | 42c | 100.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 97.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Athletics | 47c | 90.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Athletics | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…363cbacked Athletics | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Athletics | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…28ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 71.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 71.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Athletics | 46c | 64.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 54.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Athletics | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Athletics | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 32.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics | 49c | 31.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Athletics | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Athletics | 44c | 23.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 18.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.