MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b42e47063c17ba7b2250c8509c817ca86e419616beb7c49ce7c7208ac2dc46f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 34,674$16,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,128.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 62c | 24,215$14,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.06 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 18,131$9,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,521.54 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 52c | 15,119$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,257.3 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 11,021$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 55c | 8,929$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.5 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 4,147$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 4,087$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 1,742$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 941.01$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 55c | 807.27$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.27 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 756$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.67 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 39c | 678$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 47c | 643.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.94 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 42c | 573.6$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 38c | 444.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 36c | 401.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 19c | 243.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 242.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 237.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 213.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 26c | 210.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 26c | 206.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 173.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 169.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 163.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 48c | 136.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 53c | 132.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 119.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 116.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 30c | 108.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 47c | 105.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…363cbacked Over | 48c | 79.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 46c | 69.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Under | 23c | 58.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 47c | 49.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d0d9backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 33c | 40.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 35.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…4bc4backed Under | 66c | 33.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 55c | 32.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 51c | 28.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 48c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 47c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.