TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Los Angeles Angels, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$473,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Los Angeles Angels40c200,000$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,999.9141149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics60c100,305$60,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,122.11,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Athletics62c40,257$24,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,297.782,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics60c26,334$15,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,533.892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Athletics60c25,532$15,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,212.823538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Los Angeles Angels32c24,420$7,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.516662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Los Angeles Angels4c23,859$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.818220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Athletics68c20,793$14,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,653.6685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels38c20,699$7,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,836.513,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics59c19,578$11,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,104.9677053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Los Angeles Angels40c18,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Athletics60c17,966$10,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,186.2321242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics61c15,817$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,161.084,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Los Angeles Angels40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Los Angeles Angels1c11,475$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.417417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics60c10,096$6,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.1811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Athletics60c9,385$5,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.8432251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics63c8,219$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.9643554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels40c7,409$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.554,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels38c6,419$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.136,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels1c6,048$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels37c5,930$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.042,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Athletics60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics59c4,722$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.551,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics64c4,662$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.321,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Angels39c3,045$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.4777951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Athletics60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Los Angeles Angels6c2,155$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.36142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Los Angeles Angels1c2,118$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Los Angeles Angels40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80043253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Athletics59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Athletics60c1,872$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.8720945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics58c1,751$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7271,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Los Angeles Angels40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60051449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Athletics60c1,480$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59221147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Los Angeles Angels1c1,434$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Los Angeles Angels41c1,282$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4829147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Los Angeles Angels41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45132850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Los Angeles Angels1c1,050$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3329…332dbacked Los Angeles Angels6c1,040$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Los Angeles Angels39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Los Angeles Angels40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9924448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics76c864.54$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.981,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1a…c742backed Los Angeles Angels8c848.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.89283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics62c819$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Los Angeles Angels40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Athletics61c800$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31441152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels39c799.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6cf…5480backed Los Angeles Angels3c797.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4750%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels19c785.6$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Los Angeles Angels15c780.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11519540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Los Angeles Angels10c748.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2423146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Athletics63c714.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2925149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels42c679.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.341,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Los Angeles Angels45c670.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Athletics58c660$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.26256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Athletics61c599.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9939846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels43c562.49$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.233,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Los Angeles Angels43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21537748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Athletics60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels38c500$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.732,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Athletics58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Los Angeles Angels42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Los Angeles Angels41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Athletics60c495$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19837052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Los Angeles Angels43c494.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.041,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Angels8c471.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.661,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Angels40c459.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics59c442.25$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1757548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics59c432$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1271850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Athletics60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels44c381.78$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.642,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Los Angeles Angels42c380.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Los Angeles Angels42c379$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1868846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e6…cb9fbacked Los Angeles Angels3c369.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Los Angeles Angels44c362.47$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.497447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Los Angeles Angels42c359.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.691,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Los Angeles Angels6c350.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3537032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Los Angeles Angels6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Athletics60c305.25$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Los Angeles Angels43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12969351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Los Angeles Angels42c289.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.241,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels41c275$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Los Angeles Angels45c257$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3825155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7668…bc8fbacked Los Angeles Angels8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Athletics62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9422948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…e13ebacked Los Angeles Angels8c228.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1312428.2%35 W · 89 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics77c227.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.433,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Los Angeles Angels45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6049…a182backed Los Angeles Angels45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Athletics60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8810438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Los Angeles Angels5c218.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4431032.9%102 W · 208 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics76c217.92$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.45,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Los Angeles Angels41c216.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.922744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf106…0541backed Los Angeles Angels18c202.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Angels39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics75c190$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.818,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Los Angeles Angels37c188.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706850%34 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Athletics57c180.71$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9146946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels42c180$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.32,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.