TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francisco Cerundoloof Arthur Fery, Francisco Cerundolo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$817,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$924,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Arthur Fery44c103,240$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,00036346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Arthur Fery41c39,302$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,00045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333d…134ebacked Francisco Cerundolo63c35,525$22,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,282.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Francisco Cerundolo56c31,417$17,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,823.6810751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Francisco Cerundolo56c26,904$15,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,779.123,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francisco Cerundolo57c25,655$14,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,937.78,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Francisco Cerundolo61c21,060$12,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,254.3245737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Francisco Cerundolo65c15,435$10,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,402.497236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Arthur Fery39c14,690$5,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,736.6815048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Arthur Fery36c13,893$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisco Cerundolo60c11,430$6,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.266,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Francisco Cerundolo61c10,294$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.6513754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Francisco Cerundolo55c9,929$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.25853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Francisco Cerundolo57c9,890$5,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.1421642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Fery40c9,254$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Francisco Cerundolo56c8,827$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.6438446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Francisco Cerundolo65c8,563$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.734857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Francisco Cerundolo61c8,039$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.8436145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Fery27c7,442$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.478,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Arthur Fery40c7,064$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.4276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Francisco Cerundolo62c6,452$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.618060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Francisco Cerundolo75c5,897$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.2865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Fery40c5,824$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.734,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Francisco Cerundolo49c5,422$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.856,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Arthur Fery49c5,354$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.8126847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Fery34c5,304$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Francisco Cerundolo54c5,024$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.6562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Arthur Fery41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed Francisco Cerundolo57c4,800$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Arthur Fery38c4,775$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.741,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Arthur Fery42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0413852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Francisco Cerundolo57c4,446$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Francisco Cerundolo58c4,334$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.0824841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Francisco Cerundolo63c4,200$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55132050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Fery47c4,134$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Francisco Cerundolo49c4,093$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.652,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Arthur Fery78c4,053$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.092,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Arthur Fery38c3,947$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Francisco Cerundolo70c3,518$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.0894068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Arthur Fery12c3,482$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.796836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Arthur Fery38c3,469$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b05…c092backed Francisco Cerundolo60c3,318$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.012147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Arthur Fery39c3,209$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.4668935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Arthur Fery39c3,177$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.312,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Francisco Cerundolo60c3,105$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.212,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fery44c3,089$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.385,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Arthur Fery39c3,060$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.2821638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Arthur Fery50c2,812$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.4352152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Arthur Fery43c2,733$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1754454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Francisco Cerundolo62c2,559$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.994,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Arthur Fery40c2,492$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.969532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Arthur Fery41c2,480$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5930740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Arthur Fery53c2,462$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30548855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Francisco Cerundolo63c2,409$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.553043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Francisco Cerundolo49c2,221$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.7938550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Arthur Fery79c2,160$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.49760.8%59 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Arthur Fery34c2,156$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Arthur Fery25c2,153$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2913029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Arthur Fery39c2,077$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Francisco Cerundolo58c2,033$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.63,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Francisco Cerundolo59c2,000$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81523152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Francisco Cerundolo53c1,914$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4844448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Arthur Fery54c1,872$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.6322056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Arthur Fery37c1,871$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.091,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Fery38c1,854$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.969,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Francisco Cerundolo60c1,842$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.679746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Fery35c1,786$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.034,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Francisco Cerundolo55c1,773$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.730440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Francisco Cerundolo69c1,705$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.5258359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Francisco Cerundolo58c1,638$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9354541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Francisco Cerundolo47c1,594$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.931,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Arthur Fery39c1,550$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59740144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked Arthur Fery78c1,470$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.69240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Francisco Cerundolo68c1,390$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.283,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Arthur Fery40c1,290$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7143250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Arthur Fery42c1,274$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.5492237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked Francisco Cerundolo42c1,267$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Arthur Fery39c1,267$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.821,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Francisco Cerundolo57c1,246$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.711,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Arthur Fery50c1,209$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.339046.4%181 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked Arthur Fery74c1,200$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Francisco Cerundolo60c1,168$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.0370652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Arthur Fery35c1,140$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Francisco Cerundolo59c1,124$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0238066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492b…45eebacked Arthur Fery53c1,090$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.5416349.7%81 W · 82 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Arthur Fery37c1,084$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0611149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Francisco Cerundolo58c1,053$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.61,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Francisco Cerundolo53c1,013$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.492,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Francisco Cerundolo59c1,004$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Arthur Fery38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Francisco Cerundolo53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Arthur Fery38c1,000$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.122,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Francisco Cerundolo56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9922449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Francisco Cerundolo39c984.43$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4414134%48 W · 93 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Francisco Cerundolo62c959$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.9352557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Francisco Cerundolo57c938.54$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.571,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Arthur Fery41c933.71$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3722352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Francisco Cerundolo58c921$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.987,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Arthur Fery55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked Francisco Cerundolo60c906.72$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6924451.6%126 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.