MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18d3c153264bccffcae7b4c95f06ddc16c0391603725f3b81540de0d8d63245

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $78,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,299 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	54c	33,036$17,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,827.13	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	46c	28,541$13,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,412.62	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	46c	14,651$6,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,911.56	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under	54c	12,900$6,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,966	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	54c	9,240$4,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,997.71	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	46c	6,680$3,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,589.02	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over	46c	3,198$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.87	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	65c	2,408$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.99	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under	54c	1,876$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.98	206	48.1%99 W · 107 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	54c	1,740$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.6	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	60c	1,700$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.8	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	54c	1,355$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.93	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	74c	1,236$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.54	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d0…6219backed Over	46c	1,200$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under	53c	934.3$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.18	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	45c	776.12$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.87	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	47c	744.95$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.82	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under	54c	740.74$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	211	47.9%101 W · 110 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	40c	734.31$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.66	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	53c	527.83$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.75	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under	54c	515.63$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.44	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	47c	493$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.29	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	54c	473.77$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.61	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	46c	420$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.8	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Under	54c	278$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.12	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	274$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.96	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	60c	258.33$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	46c	240$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.6	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under	52c	239.5$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.54	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	54c	235.99$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.82	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	54c	190$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	35c	182.66$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.11	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	68c	148.35$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.93	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over	46c	133.36$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.5	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	46c	120$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	44c	98.8$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.47	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	54c	90$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7e…363cbacked Under	56c	87.83$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.03	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under	38c	84.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.16	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	14c	80.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Under	54c	75$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Under	54c	69.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.78	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	54c	67.76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.59	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	45c	62.49$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.37	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Under	55c	61.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	133	51.9%69 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	251	49.8%125 W · 126 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	47c	53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.09	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over	45c	53$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.15	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over	63c	52.17$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.3	420	47.9%201 W · 219 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a80…542fbacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under	32c	39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	352	48%169 W · 183 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	54c	37.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc914…78a4backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	53c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	54c	35.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under	53c	34.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under	42c	34.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	123	39%48 W · 75 L	-9.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	45c	32.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	424	48.1%204 W · 220 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…9729backed Under	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over	48c	23.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under	54c	22.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under	54c	21.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event