MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239856e862c6c78d636e3f1b37362662580365901a6efd4742589bc1940c90d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Toronto Blue Jays, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 29,530$15,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,879.05 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 18,392$7,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,713.26 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 15,413$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,244.16 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 12,276$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.38 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 7,849$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.35 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 7,740$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.89 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 7,733$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.58 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 7,544$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.18 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 7,432$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.4 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 6,700$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.8 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 6,529$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 5,667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,706$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.58 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 3,694$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 3,656$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,584$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.9 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,575$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 3,018$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.23 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 2,699$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.88 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 2,305$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,164$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,121$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.33 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,781$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.61 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,761$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.68 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,619$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.78 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,119$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.41 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…55d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 899.31$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.68 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 895.11$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 874.67$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 840$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 801.11$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 797.72$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.95 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 789.4$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 760$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 758.85$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.79 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 727.7$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.02 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 688.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 684.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 669.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 636.79$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 623.74$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 520$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 484.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 421.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 420.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 410$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…89dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 400.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 389.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 377.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 369.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…06e6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 366.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 360$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 354.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 340.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 334.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 330.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 315.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 315.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 295.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 289.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 239.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 235.86$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 215.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 209.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 201$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 199.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 199.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 187.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 178$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 171.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…c91bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 169.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 671 | 43.2%290 W · 381 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.