MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2464bc38d9c12f850404f7f7bf56dc303f6e9b21e6a08899a4f960feefa45b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 86,020$37,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,331.25 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 58,398$32,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,703.1 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 55,057$23,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,382.6 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 30,569$12,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,207.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 19,085$9,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,324.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 17,097$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 14,814$8,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,296.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 12,399$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.9 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 9,694$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.62 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 9,269$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 7,586$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.62 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,246$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,321$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.52 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,159$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 3,104$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 2,756$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…0d2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,501$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dcfebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,366$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.37 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,110$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.13 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,110$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,053$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,785$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,731$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.98 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,396$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.18 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,260$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,189$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.8 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,078$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.24 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,074$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.42 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,039$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.46 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,011$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.67 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 983.59$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 920$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 890.86$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.79 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 869.2$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 828.68$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 809.07$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.71 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 799.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 718.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 623.75$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 595.22$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 535.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 528.95$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 527.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.02 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 516.79$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.23 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 451.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 445.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 443.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 429$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 423$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 411.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 367.12$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 361.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 349.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 345.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 324.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 324.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 319.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 305.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 300.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 270.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 270$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 266.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 266$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…cb30backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 260$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 249.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.