MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4236c071936e43ede51352d16393ec66f4b71153e1f2c9734218ec9b57675a88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 51c | 42,847$21,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,995.27 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 30,187$14,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,857.78 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 12,816$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 9,561$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.28 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 8,145$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.55 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 6,781$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.44 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 6,120$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.4 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 3,665$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.8 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 3,244$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 60c | 2,018$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,712$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.12 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,676$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.16 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 38c | 1,427$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.26 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 1,351$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.82 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 1,130$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.7 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 1,075$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.66 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 939.1$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 859.53$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 50c | 828.34$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.17 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 50c | 770.38$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 758.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.23 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 49c | 740.07$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 718.24$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.94 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 575.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 51c | 405.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 360$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 45c | 352.18$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 301.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 73c | 270$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 49c | 230.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 58c | 208.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 186.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 52c | 164.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 42c | 144$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 58c | 134$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 42c | 131.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 118.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 118.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 70c | 105.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 53c | 102.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 93.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 51c | 90.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 82.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 68c | 64.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 44c | 61.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 52c | 57.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…7320backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 24c | 49.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…dbf9backed Under | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 39.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…6347backed Over | 77c | 29.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 60c | 27.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 49c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.