Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ba76e968cee1824d5fc64631662fd7176618a2767f5feec0b70be6d0575082b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 80,386$26,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,997.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 58c | 34,703$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 23,992$14,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,187.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 15,400$6,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 11c | 14,215$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,609.92 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 10,108$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.93 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…d2c0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 9,157$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,300.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 33c | 8,033$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,368.44 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 60c | 7,824$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 20c | 7,457$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.43 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 6,512$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 37c | 5,832$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.43 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 5,026$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 4,911$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.36 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 28c | 4,696$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 7c | 4,230$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.84 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 60c | 3,704$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.01 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,858$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.35 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 38c | 2,611$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 49c | 2,219$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 4c | 2,014$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.51 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed No | 42c | 1,926$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 6c | 1,848$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed No | 55c | 1,815$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 64c | 1,762$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.51 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 5c | 1,712$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.32 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Yes | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Yes | 61c | 1,652$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 7c | 1,502$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.86 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 1,441$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.75 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 6c | 1,425$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.49 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 9c | 1,400$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 77c | 1,346$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.88 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 60c | 1,309$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,303$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked No | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked No | 48c | 1,276$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.98 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 6c | 1,248$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.85 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 70c | 1,236$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.83 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked No | 8c | 1,225$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,224$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked No | 53c | 1,177$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…80c8backed Yes | 73c | 1,069$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…f4bbbacked No | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 67c | 999.97$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.98 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 923.81$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.97 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked No | 6c | 902.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.3 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 53c | 820.44$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 55c | 814.27$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 68c | 808.82$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 6c | 806.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 77c | 739.17$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.16 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 42c | 710$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 8c | 679.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.49 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa9…f8a2backed Yes | 74c | 658.26$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 28c | 635.16$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.16 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 7c | 633.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.96 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Yes | 78c | 600$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 6c | 598.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.33 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 7c | 556.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.37 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…49d2backed No | 51c | 542.64$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Yes | 49c | 507.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 8c | 437.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.27 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 19c | 420$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.62 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 14c | 403.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.22 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed No | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…864cbacked No | 20c | 393.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Yes | 66c | 389.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 52c | 385.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 7c | 383.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 19c | 360.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 10c | 349.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 80c | 340.7$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 7c | 333.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Yes | 49c | 333.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 35c | 324.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…02fcbacked Yes | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…b44ebacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 71c | 294.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…678ebacked No | 5c | 292$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 65c | 290$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 71c | 290$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 6c | 273.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 8c | 271.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed No | 7c | 270$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 80c | 255.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 80c | 251.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 11c | 250$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 184 | 31.5%58 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed No | 50c | 249.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 6c | 243.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?this page
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?No won
- Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.