TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No53c39,534$20,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,962.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes5c33,517$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,997.59306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick8cpaid+40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No63c20,198$12,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,658.171,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes56c18,555$10,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,092.7938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes5c14,071$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,381.6842710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes25c10,000$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,485.4110734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes42c4,737$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.822040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked Yes8c3,917$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+502.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c3,808$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.974,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb450…1c12backed Yes46c3,475$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed Yes62c3,473$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes6c3,144$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.9210331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No60c2,855$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.0117513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c2,563$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.571,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes54c2,526$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.6411561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Yes5c2,300$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.264233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes5c2,226$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.566126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes5c2,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9006839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c1,779$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2130117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes55c1,769$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes47c1,420$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.6519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yes15c1,298$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.5210439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Yes32c1,131$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2110142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes38c1,022$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes45c1,000$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4421166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Yes55c990$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.085563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes5c976.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.89242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c944.74$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Yes62c933.85$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.262835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Yes16c924.37$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.371850%9 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes5c840$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes5c806.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.5622746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes5c800$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes16c727.07$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.0751429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes5c724.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4788838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Yes44c683.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked No19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked No19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Yes45c560.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.853545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No64c550.54$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes5c549.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Yes29c515.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes20c505.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.052020%4 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes39c488.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.439822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c487.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes4c472.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.4368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes65c467$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.121,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes5c441.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1616131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9548…655fbacked Yes45c438.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.95825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes8c437.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.510626.4%28 W · 78 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes5c431.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4625031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked No19c429.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+224.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes6c421.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3430220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes14c419.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.5810956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8b…276abacked Yes5c408.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.333721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes34c399.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.794440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd014…c792backed Yes60c395.78$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.784259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Yes56c372.94$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.914143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0aa9…f8a2backed Yes54c371.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes54c371.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.066942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No56c366$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1257541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b62…1fe9backed Yes5c360.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.751625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+116.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb534…06a6backed Yes49c352.5$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.52556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20fa…2652backed No43c350.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes61c344.16$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.164252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b81…17f7backed Yes51c332.09$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.092330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes11c321.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.284233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Yes5c306$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.78527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No48c304.27$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4327538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581c…d9dabacked Yes57c300.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes14c277.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9111552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes39c259.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.072556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c258$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4445039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes8c256.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6835619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Yes11c256.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.243363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed Yes39c253.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.19650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6188…0a91backed Yes20c252.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed No48c242.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2211450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked No18c241.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7213844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes55c234.66$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6611217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Yes47c231.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+78%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed No65c230.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.87163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes39c228.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4314639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5647…de1dbacked Yes18c223.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.462213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes75c217.62$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.628235.4%29 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e2…b51abacked Yes5c206.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.258420.2%17 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19031543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…eb91backed Yes21c198.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed No69c196.59$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.373336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96ce…9c25backed Yes54c196.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.285749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08f…d167backed Yes35c194.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes50c189.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.081838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes61c187$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.877153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes31c181.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3329529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb19…caa5backed Yes59c170.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No47c153.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.982,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes33c150.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1510541.9%44 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.