MLB · resolved market

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7b25fb75c1bfdf192534f40f47361ad39801c585ab171e98579a451cc9b786

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Milwaukee Brewersof Athletics, Milwaukee Brewers
Resolved: Jun 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,972 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	66c	9,489$6,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,201.23	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Athletics	37c	5,780$2,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,138.48	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers	61c	3,655$2,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.32	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics	31c	2,842$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.02	4,405	44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L	+80.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics	34c	2,663$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.23	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics	28c	2,613$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.89	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Milwaukee Brewers	55c	1,282$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.01	548	15.9%87 W · 461 L	-41.1wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers	63c	876.54$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.32	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics	45c	658.68$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.4	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Milwaukee Brewers	63c	594.94$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.13	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Athletics	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers	64c	467.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.48	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers	64c	419.06$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.86	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers	64c	240.18$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.46	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Athletics	35c	237.99$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.9	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Milwaukee Brewers	75c	205$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.45	72	68.1%49 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Milwaukee Brewers	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers	71c	193.11$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.56	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Athletics	36c	186$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Athletics	36c	169.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.1	293	54.9%161 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics	15c	162.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	1,928	17.2%331 W · 1,597 L	-320.9wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Athletics	36c	127.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.82	362	50.3%182 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics	34c	114.7$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Milwaukee Brewers	64c	109$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.24	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Athletics	44c	106.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.58	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers	57c	103$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.29	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics	35c	96.9$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.92	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	64c	91.32$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Athletics	35c	90.94$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics	39c	90.46$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Athletics	36c	90.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.52	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	64c	66.67$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	199	54.3%108 W · 91 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers	63c	62.07$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.97	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9d…77debacked Milwaukee Brewers	65c	57.78$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.22	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics	25c	55.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Athletics	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	384	53.9%207 W · 177 L	+16.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics	28c	51.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Athletics	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers	65c	49.75$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics	36c	49.21$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Athletics	37c	49.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers	63c	48.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Athletics	44c	45.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	177	52.5%93 W · 84 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cca…efe9backed Athletics	33c	45.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked Athletics	36c	44.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-8.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0a0…e8fcbacked Athletics	28c	41.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers	65c	40.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.09	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Milwaukee Brewers	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers	64c	38$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Athletics	37c	37.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	741	43.5%322 W · 419 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Milwaukee Brewers	68c	36.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Athletics	50c	36.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.21	726	55.4%402 W · 324 L	+40.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers	64c	34.39$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Athletics	37c	28.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	475	52.4%249 W · 226 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Milwaukee Brewers	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	-35.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Milwaukee Brewers	77c	17.13$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.87	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…9729backed Milwaukee Brewers	71c	16.9$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Milwaukee Brewers	69c	15.01$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	347	54.8%190 W · 157 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Athletics won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event